Every prediction market needs clear, verifiable resolution rules. Here's exactly how we determine outcomes and settle trades—no surprises, no ambiguity.
The real-world event happens (e.g., FOMC announces rate decision, company releases earnings).
Our system pulls data from multiple official sources and cross-references for accuracy.
Based on verified data, the market outcome is determined (YES or NO wins).
Winning positions receive payouts. Trades are marked as resolved in your account.
We only use official, verifiable sources for resolution. Here's what we use for each market category:
We never use unofficial leaks, rumors, or social media posts for resolution. Only official announcements and verified data sources count.
Each market has specific resolution criteria stated in the event description. Read them before trading—they're binding.
Most events resolve within 1-2 hours of the outcome becoming official. Complex events may take up to 24 hours for full verification.
If you believe a resolution is incorrect, contact support within 24 hours with evidence. We review all disputes seriously.
If an event is cancelled or postponed beyond the market's close date, the market resolves to NO unless otherwise specified in the market rules.
In rare cases where the outcome is genuinely ambiguous (e.g., conflicting official sources), we may void the market and refund all positions at their entry price.
If official data is later corrected (e.g., revised economic figures), the original resolution stands unless the correction happens within 1 hour of initial release.